There are enough solar panels for 100% electricity generation in 4 years and enough to replace all fossil energy by 2035. The reported solar panel production capacity out of China is over 1TW PV in 2024, and expected to grow in 2025. China faces an industry collapse of companies making solar panels. Either panels must be deployed globally or there will be a sector collapse.

• A deployment of that number of panels globally will also need batteries.
• Each year, that number of solar PV would 4.5% of coal and gas for electricity

Speed of Deployment: Fast Enough?

• Pakistan took a large number of panels in 2023, and added 25% of its electricity demand.
• Rooftop deployment does not need transmission or distribution.
• Utility grade solar has grid connection delays
• Adding batteries for household resolves the issue of excess capacity at midday (duck curve)
• Countries can be 100% renewable energy
• Production capacity expected to rise to 2TW by 2026.
• A 2TW production would lead to a 9% year-on-year increase in change
  Within 4 years, 2028, all over.
  In contrast, the average nuclear takes 14 years to build. From today.

Enough Solar Panels to Increase Renewable Energy by 4.5% per year

Currently, about 20,000TWh of fossil fuel-fired power stations and 60,000 TWh of fossil fuel energy for all uses

Solar replaces fossil fuel power stations by 2028. By 2035, solar and batteries could replace most fossil fuel energy.

References

1. A near 100 per cent renewables grid is well within reach, and with little storage Dr David Osmond. 2024 https://reneweconomy.com.au/a-near-100-per-cent-renewables-grid-is-well-within-reach-and-with-little-storage/
2. The Solar Revolution – Past, Present and Future | Ep173: Jenny Chase CleaningUp Live Podcast July 2024 https://www.cleaningup.live/the-solar-revolution-past-present-and-future-ep173-jenny-chase/