Optimistic Storm: A future powered by Ingenuity. The end of the fossil fuel era is the title of my latest book. Innovation is changing our world faster than imaginable, commercialising innovative technologies faster than most people realise. Disruption is the result of multiple new technologies and new business models. Check out some of the over 250 articles on energy disruption, transportation, food and agriculture.

Change comes from prosperity. We can be optimistic.

Optimistic Storm: Pt 1 Available Now.

Part 1: End of the Fossil fuel era, energy and transportation

Buy directly from author Click Here, or from Amazon Kindle

Part 2: Food to Feed All, Restore our Environment and End Drudgery 1st January 2025

Optimistic Storm A future powered by ingenuity

4th Disruption. End of Fossil Fuel Era

Modern Energy changes transportation, food and labour
Changes to energy have led to the change of transport 50 years later. Century long periods means this new renewable energy change will disrupt transportation and bring energy to a billion people in energy poverty.

Blog Posts – Recent

Scroll through the articles, or the full list is in the footer. Down there at the bottom ↓↓

  • regaining sovereignty by ending fossil fuel
    Reclaiming Sovereignty When Fossil Fuel is Gone
    Renewable energy produced locally regains sovereignty when fossil fuel is gone. Countries regain sovereignty when they no longer have to buy their energy from fossil fuel rich countries. Fossil fuel exports provide luxury for about 24 countries – the rest of the 160 countries are dependent on importing oil gas and coal.
  • Inertia in Grids
    Inertia In Electricity Grids
    Inertia in electricity grids is a term used in electricity grids describing the behaviour of voltage. Many think solar and wind won’t be able to keep the grid stable because they lack “inertia”. Solar, wind and batteries will probably do a BETTER job and you can explain it in various ways. The… Read more: Inertia In Electricity Grids
  • Hydrogen is a green house gas
    Hydrogen is a Greenhouse Gas
    Hydrogen itself is not a direct greenhouse gas, as it does not absorb infrared radiation. However, evidence suggests it acts as an indirect greenhouse gas. When released, it extends methane’s atmospheric lifetime, increases tropospheric ozone, and adds stratospheric water vapor, all of which contribute to warming. Studies estimate its 100-year Global Warming Potential at 11.6 ± 2.8.

Why Optimistic Storm? Because change management relies on four core principles and these are :

  • Understand Change.
  • Plan Change.
  • Implement Change.
  • Communicate Change.

Change is happening rapidly. Climate change. Renewable energy. Transportation. This period of human existence is one of the great revolutions of the last 20,000 years, and the changes will be as or more profound as previous revolutions. These are somewhat different to the energy transitions.

  • First Industrial Revolution 1765
  • Second Industrial Revolution 1870.
  • Third Industrial Revolution 1969.
  • Four – Multiple – End of Fossil Fuel, Food for All, End of Work

This will be more profound than previous. It is the end of the fossil fuel era, with the rise of renewable energy and spell the end of individual ownership of cars to a public transport system on demand. The disruption in food will spell the biggest change to agriculture since we began to farm. The rise of robots will spell the end of dangerous, dirty and drudgery.

Commercialising Innovative Technologies

About 20 years ago, an astute Canadian told me there are 3 reasons people change.

  • They make money
  • They lose money
  • It is the law

The strongest change is when there are 2 factors in play. So change can be sudden. Whenever something is 1/10th of the cost, change will happen. Adoption is often 10 years to get to 1% of the market. Then within a decade, it can hold 80% of the market. Often it is not a 1 to 1 substitution.

Article Perspectives

Check out the various recent blogs. I try to view these subjects from 3 perspectives.

  • Technology. Does it work? We know that R&D and scaling of solution will drive up the tech, and decrease costs
  • Economics. Are the compelling financial or economic drivers for change? Will these change with R&D or scaling?
  • Politics. What are the institutional barriers or the individuals belief systems?

Innovation is never a straight line. And forecasts are often wrong.

Different views of the future
From RMI, Cleantech Revolution. Engineers could have gone to same university, but ExxonMobil engineers have different perspective than Rystad

Challenges to Transition

The International Energy Agency says the data shows a looming mismatch between the world’s strengthened climate ambitions and the availability of critical minerals that are essential to realising those ambitions. This in the energy market is also true to other aspects of change over the next 10 years.