Optimistic Storm: A future powered by Ingenuity. The end of the fossil fuel era is the title of my latest book. Innovation is changing our world faster than imaginable, commercialising innovative technologies faster than most people realise. Disruption is the result of multiple new technologies and new business models. Check out some of the over 250 articles on energy disruption, transportation, food and agriculture.

Change comes from prosperity. We can be optimistic.

Optimistic Storm: Pt 1 Available Now.

Part 1: End of the Fossil fuel era, energy and transportation

Buy directly from author Click Here, or from Amazon Kindle

Part 2: Food to Feed All, Restore our Environment and End Drudgery 1st January 2025

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Optimistic Storm A future powered by ingenuity

4th Disruption. End of Fossil Fuel Era

Modern Energy changes transportation, food and labour
Changes to energy have led to the change of transport 50 years later. Century long periods means this new renewable energy change will disrupt transportation and bring energy to a billion people in energy poverty.

Blog Posts – Recent

Scroll through the articles, or the full list is in the footer. Down there at the bottom ↓↓

  • Stranded gas pipelines in australia
    Stranded Gas Assets in Australia
    Rapid electrification is forcing gas network companies to seek higher fees by over $200m as they try to protect over $10 billion of stranded assets. As more households switch to electricity, the future of renewable gas remains uncertain. The energy transition challenges policymakers to protect both consumers and gas companies.
  • Q&A Renewable Energy
    Renewables can supply 100% power, with several countries already achieving high percentages. They are cheaper than fossil fuels, despite rising energy bills due to external factors. While land use is less for renewables, the environmental impact of fossil fuels is significant. Job transitions from fossil fuels to renewables are underway, with potential growth in sectors like battery technology. Renewables offer economic, environmental, and job benefits over fossil fuels.
  • Obesity GLP-1 Drugs for winder use
    Obesity GLP-1 Drugs for Wider Use
    We have all heard or know of someone who is taking the obesity drug but the exciting news is research going to take the obesity GLP-1 drugs for wider use. A science paper summary of the GLP-1 advances shows how researchers are focusing on other uses.

Why Optimistic Storm? Because change management relies on four core principles and these are :

  • Understand Change.
  • Plan Change.
  • Implement Change.
  • Communicate Change.

Change is happening rapidly. Climate change. Renewable energy. Transportation. This period of human existence is one of the great revolutions of the last 20,000 years, and the changes will be as or more profound as previous revolutions. These are somewhat different to the energy transitions.

  • First Industrial Revolution 1765
  • Second Industrial Revolution 1870.
  • Third Industrial Revolution 1969.
  • Four – Multiple – End of Fossil Fuel, Food for All, End of Work

This will be more profound than previous. It is the end of the fossil fuel era, with the rise of renewable energy and spell the end of individual ownership of cars to a public transport system on demand. The disruption in food will spell the biggest change to agriculture since we began to farm. The rise of robots will spell the end of dangerous, dirty and drudgery.

Commercialising Innovative Technologies

About 20 years ago, an astute Canadian told me there are 3 reasons people change.

  • They make money
  • They lose money
  • It is the law

The strongest change is when there are 2 factors in play. So change can be sudden. Whenever something is 1/10th of the cost, change will happen. Adoption is often 10 years to get to 1% of the market. Then within a decade, it can hold 80% of the market. Often it is not a 1 to 1 substitution.

Article Perspectives

Check out the various recent blogs. I try to view these subjects from 3 perspectives.

  • Technology. Does it work? We know that R&D and scaling of solution will drive up the tech, and decrease costs
  • Economics. Are the compelling financial or economic drivers for change? Will these change with R&D or scaling?
  • Politics. What are the institutional barriers or the individuals belief systems?

Innovation is never a straight line. And forecasts are often wrong.

Different views of the future
From RMI, Cleantech Revolution. Engineers could have gone to same university, but ExxonMobil engineers have different perspective than Rystad

Challenges to Transition

The International Energy Agency says the data shows a looming mismatch between the world’s strengthened climate ambitions and the availability of critical minerals that are essential to realising those ambitions. This in the energy market is also true to other aspects of change over the next 10 years.