new vehicle emissions paper

The Australian Government released the background briefing paper – Cleaner, Cheaper Cars to Run – New Vehicle Efficiency Standard for Australia in January 2024 and plan to enact legislation in 2024. Download the full paper here. The Govt Infrastructure Dept came up with 3 scenarios and ask interested parties to provide submissions by early March 2024. Supposedly the preferred legislation will be completed in 2024.

These 3 scenarios are business as usual, moderate introduction of international standards and fast adoption. Option 2 and 3 is to raise vehicle emissions to that of the USA. Only Australia and Russia have low or no regulation.

Transport in Australia contributes about 20% to emissions. Electrifying the fleet, and implementing new vehicle emissions standards all contribute to lowering emissions.

emissions

3 Options for Fuel Savings and Emissions Reduction

Option 2 would bring Australia into the USA regulations by 2029 and fast option 3 by 2027

From Cleaner cars https://www.infrastructure.gov.au/infrastructure-transport-vehicles/vehicles/australian-government-introducing-new-vehicle-efficiency-standard-cleaner-and-cheaper-run-cars

Other Data from Publication

New Vehicle Sales

New Vehicles 2023NumberPercentage
Passenger vehicles (including most SUVs)890,82376.46%
Light commercial vehicles (including some utes and vans274,18523.54% 
Total1,165,008 100%
From https://www.infrastructure.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/cleaner-cheaper-to-run-cars-the-australian-new-vehicle-efficiency-standard-consultation-impact-analysis-february2024.pdf

Australia’s vehicle fleet (2022)

  • Total Fleet
    • 19.9 million light vehicles
    • 20.7 million vehicles including heavy vehicles and motorcycles
  • Average vehicle age
    • 10.7 years for passenger vehicles
    • 11.1 years for light commercial vehicles
  • Average price of a car
    • $40,916 (purchase price)
    • $50,161 (transaction cost – includes dealer-delivery fees, factory-fitted options and dealer-fitted accessories)

Changes in Car Parc

Year2017201820192020202120222023
Passenger Cars449,987378,470315,932221,103221,556203,056211,361
SUVs465,672495,243483,331454,701531,700576,632679,462
LCV (Light Commerical Vehicles)236,608237,972225,635205,597253,254256,382274,185
Total1,152,2671,111,6851,024,898881,4011,006,5101,036,0701,165,008
Population25.24425.5225.80726.05925.92126.17726.639
Cars per capita4.56%4.36%3.97%3.38%3.88%3.96%4.37%
Households (m)8.48.68.88.99.2759.59.7
New cars per household13.72%12.93%11.65%9.90%10.85%10.91%12.01%
The 2018 Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics (BITRE) report on the light vehicle fleet provides an estimate of the composition based on 2018 data and suggests:
Total light vehicles: 16.2 million
Passenger Vehicles (PVs): 78% (12.7 million)
Light Commercial Vehicles (LCVs): 17% (2.7 million)